Socialism Discussion & UBI - 2026

Original Comments on Socialism 2018 - Mostly Just Musings.

Ultimately, I think this discussion is important to human survival or I wouldn't consider allowing such a big distraction from my current work. In ways, this is still a bit early for me to be working on it, but this stuff develops in your mind when you aren't paying attention.

This is being posted as a web page partly because it is far too long for an email reply to the UBI thread and partly because this is my work area where I stash stuff I am or will be working on.

UBI ... The Problem of AI, Automation and Job Loss - 01/29/2026

Obviously, I’d love to come with some useful solutions to this whole story that started with discussion of UBI. In a sense, I’ve worked on this for a long time, but not in the context of economics such as UBI. So let’s see what I can do with that. As I said, you have to start by collecting all the data you have to define the problem, potential solutions, and what is known about those solutions. The problem is that you have to write the important data you find and then start over from the end to describe the conclusions that come from it. Basically you have to write forward to collect data and reach conclusions, but then you have to write backwards, stating your conclusions and then the (edited) supports for your conclusions. That raw research data is in the next "folded" section and includes Democracy, Classism, Marx, Socialism, The Wealth Of Nations... It might be of interest. There is a Fascinating Conversation About Class, Economics and Socialism below that I found and highly recommend

I often cover a lot of intellectual ground, so another way I often like to learn well known subjects is by debate. I read multiple opinions, presumably often opposing, and try to synthesize from them what the truth is and what is important. It's like how ballot propositions offer "Argument For, "Argument Against" and "Rebuttal".

Also, I'm good at logic and reason, so I naturally start at starting points and see how the reasoning about something developed. Early ideas like democracy or socialism, usually have problems, but you can see how and why they develop after that. It's why I looked at The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith for this, a flawed but very good primer on how economics has been looked at historically. Socialism is a great case about this. This is like some folks that like to damn Christianity by citing the rather brutal practices of the Old Testament, archaic and superseded practices for a brutal world, while intentionally ignoring the philosophies offered in the New Testament that are essential to civilization. Socialism is an ancient idea, but a recent concept of socialism was 'state" ownership of the means of production, or for that matter, all ownership (Marx). This has long been considered a failed idea, but is still used to define socialism by those that would like to discredit it. A far more sophisticated and honest view of all political and economic systems (the problems) is required if you want to come up with useful solutions.

Note that Cory's important point about motivation and "socialism" is an old question, commented upon as the Lotus Eaters of the Oddyssey.
 
Warning, it's the kind of analysis I like to do when asked a complicated question and I want to work out an organized answer for myself. I'm afraid they mostly annoy people, but it's just my curiosity wanting to understand something  complicated. Simple answers are useless, so don't look for them.

The future is unknown so this about defining the problem, providing solutions to the problem, as well as providing understandings of the problem. That understanding can be more valuable. With that, you can find mistakes then, and even work to correct them. Still, here is the solution. It requires adaptation by the system and the individual. The details follow The details follow

The System: Will require equitable laws, which can currently only be provided by democracy. The system will have to allow change because we are in a time of change. Ruling classes from kings to oligarchs do not like change. They also tend to monopolize resources the society at large needs. Private capitalism is necessary to all societies, but must be restricted to limit individual's power, because power attracts psychopaths. (THis is true for political bodies including "monarchies", democracies, oligarchies and theocracies. Health care and education will have to be considered investments instead of cost centers. Housing will have to be affordable. Raising a family will have to be affordable. The system will have to be predictive and active, to exploit possibilities and avoid dangers. The Individual: Genetics: Humans will need to use artificial selection to replace the natural selection we have removed and called Human Progress. This is partly to compensate for the "de novo" mutations that happen every generation. It is also to lower the cost of the energetic (resource) equation of human survival. It will also allow positive selection, selecting for the child to get the best genes from both parents, something Natural Selection cannot do. It will have the "economic" and personal benefit of offering high quality "health, beauty and brains". Just as importantly it will allow the adaptation to the very novel ecology we need to adapt to. Note that this is not about changing the bell curve on the right. This is about moving the left towards the right. The genes are very available, so aritificial selction should allow a minimum IQ of what we now call 100. Strategic: Humans will also need Majic (below), the interaction between human neurology (instincts), knowledge contained in philosophy, culture, and choice. That is how you solve the motivation problem... and that is many different problems. Humans will need a strategic system - knowledge from Philosophy and Science: a. That interacts with our neurons to create a high quality operating system for the brain. b. That teaches critical thinking skills so that a person can evalutae the truth of external and internal ideas. c. That provides the understandings that are critical to survival, but are not in the domain of science. d. Science that describes and manipulates the physical world, including providing the resources humans need for survival. ... So there you have it, simple, my conclusions about what you will need, in the broader sense of UBI, after all this fucking around. Instead of "leaving the details for the reader", they are all laid out below. I hope you enjoy them. As I have said before, I see the potential for a very bright future for humanity. Oh, and thanks to all for the entertainment. This was a fun challenge.
More Details I see some key economic and political points to consider when looking at UBI. I've always said the basic problem is the class war, but an awful lot of this can usefully also be called dominance behavior. A big problemfrom that is that it's not just about success by the "lower" class, but also there will be huge resistance from the "ruling" class. A major problem that must be addressed was brought up early on, Cory brought up one of the great unknowns "Motivation", but really, what may be more important is "Purpose" because that leads to conscious motivations, and that is what matters in a society with automation where hunger is not going to be a person's main motivation. Also, purpose can protect one from the dangers of what the Greeks called "kinetic pleasures" ... wine, women, song, drugs ... not life. That brings up another point worth keeping in mind. What are we trying to accomplish? What is our basic purpose? The big existential WHY question. Biology says it is individual and evolutionary survival, the latter relates to the society and civilization that is the individual's life support system. Philosophy says it is fulfillment(, which hopefully leads to some happiness). These really should be kept in mind. There is an insane amount written about socialism including a few Wikis, but I found one comment at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism that I think illustrates the problem we're looking for: Coercive Powers, that lead to the essence of Dominance, control.. Isn't that what it is all about? It has been in history. What does it mean now? It translates into 1. military coercion, 2. economic coercion, 3. legal coercion and 4. persuasive coercion . (Does limiting coercive powers mean freedom and liberty?) So coercive power was primarily violence and military for the first few millennia of until ...say Rome. There was the economic power of merchants, but it was limited and easily controlled by military power. Then you added the persuasive power of the church. Then you developed the economic powers of commerce and persuasion of media in the Renaissance. That led to the Industrial age and the decline in hereditary military power (kings) due to technology. Economics grew in size and power. War became more based on economics. Democracy transferred power from rulers to people. Economic power got supercharged by computers. Huge corporations with monopolies have grown into economic powers. The internet and electronic media supercharged persuasive power, controlled by the wealthy. Private economic power has largely bought democratic politicians, willingly or unwillingly. ... and here we are. We are losing our political power we got with democracy. We become more subject to the powers of coercion. So how to get out of it? Should we even. Can we provide motivation without coercion? Purpose, Motivation, incentive, or Inspiration?
This question started about UBI in response to the problem of automation and job losses. UBI is an economic solution, give some of the wealth generated by the society to people who cannot generate it for some reason. No matter what, that is a form of socialism, so get used to it and figure out what socialism would be needed to make the society with high automation work. It will be " most everything the current society provides" and some more... more than just UBI. Currently Preamble to the US Constitution says it provides for a legal system, peace in the nation, the common defense, general welfare, liberty. It says nothing about economic security, though the legal system is supposed to support that. There are other forms of socialism mentioned such as the Post Office... which got expanded to postal roads. Defense led to the Interstate Hiway System, which is socialism. Heck, much of the US infrastructure amounts to socialism, if often for businesses. Let's make a fair assumption. To survive in modern times, a nation must consider health care and education to be mandatory investments, not cost centers. Now that's socialism, but would probably be accepted here. What's (problematically) left for survival is the needs for food and housing. There are other details like Social Security which is a socialized Life Insurance system. Get all those and you have what should be a functioning survival system, whether you call it socialism or not. It's really not that much. That would remove economic coercion . Democracy should eliminate military and legal coercion . A functional democracy should have laws to limit political bribery in its many forms... or you again get legal manipulation and coercion. The persuasive power of religion seems self limiting ove time. Zelinsky's ideas (and others) on limits of the oligarchs controlling media should limit media persuasive coercion (along with other methods of propaganda). AI is leading to automation that will destroy perhaps the majority of jobs. Musk says the robots will create too much wealth to use. So we're back to motivation and purpose. "Milton Friedman argued that the absence of private economic activity would enable political leaders to grant themselves coercive powers, powers that, under a capitalist system, would instead be granted by a capitalist class, which Friedman found preferable." Well, what about the opposite? The capitalists or oligarchs are now controlling the politics. At least you can theoretically vote out political leaders in a democracy. As a basic premise of mine, while we are in the transition between ecologies, any ruling class is a problem because we are in a time of change and change is bad for any ruling entity. We know it will include protecting democracy from the wealthy. Probably economics will have to transition from capitalism to some form of socialism just as politics transformed from kings to democracy (rule by citizens). So how to do that. Democracy is about who makes the laws. Democracy was created to prevent the excesses of the monarchy, private power. Democracy is accepted as the standard now. A people can only be ruled with their consent. I suspect economics will go the same path, from private ownership to controlled ownership, which would be called socialism. That does not mean no private property or state directed industry. It would mean the economy is oriented around benefitting the citizens. Probably do the European thing of making 100% income tax past a certain amount of money. Prevent monopolies. Limit oligarch access to media like implemented by Zelinsky. The government already funds much of mega businesses, including health care. Fossil fuel is one of the biggest private spoilers. Keep in mind, yes government can fail but Zukenberg just blew $70 billion on the Metaverse, a dumb idea was never as good as Second Life was. Musk is looking like an economic disaster and his contract to create the moon lander for the Artimis mission looks like a fail too. Starlink could vaporize from one collision. Very like Milton Friedman said: let people do what they want and they will fill needs. Notice I haven't mentioned UBI. I was just getting there... and that motivation thing.... China's nuclear program sure looks to show better innovation than ours, but that is not a given. We have to see what American private innovation can create. Or it may be about that as the philosophers say, discipline matters more than genius. Distributed systems are always more reliable. That matters. Again, the problem is coercive power. Is there another way to fight that? Yep, Majic. People need knowledge of charisma to prevent emotional coercion. That's a real potential problem as Trump has demonstrated. Even if you recognize emotional power, it's hard to resist.. What seems to be most needed to initially understand this problem is the evolution of power and of economics... 1. Motivation and Purpose - not really hit here, but extremely important and where this essentially started with Cory's comment. The solution involves Majic. 2. There were a few main forms of power to consider. a. The power to kill, controlled by the "king" and jealously guarded. b. Economic power, monopolized by rulers when they could, but it took the skills of merchants to make wealth, so it could not be monopolized. That seems comparable to the middle class. There were always crafters in the city, but they were not that important. c. There was also the moral and psychological power of religions, which tended to get trumped by the power to kill, but thrived symbiotically with the military ruling class. d. Machines, as the industrial age developed. 3. Greed. Greed is one of the most important drivers. It can be for security, addiction, but is most dangerous when used to gain dominance. 4. Law. The importance of law cannot be over stated. Without it, there is no order and predators run free. Without law, there can't be the contracts that businesses rely on. 4. There seems to be two political structures in the West that can dominate power. Ruling class/feudalism vs Democracy. Ongoing class war. What is a lot of this is about. 4. Ownership - private vs collective. How the class war is fought. 5. Corruption. Not to be underestimated. Atlas Shrugged was partly about the destructive power of economic corruption. 6. War - Sort of obsolete after the rifled musket. ... sort of and drones may repeat that. What about AI? Mostly a bunch of unknowns. 7. Incompetence, never underestimate it. 8. Corporations as people. Just a nightmare going in the opposite direction of history.

2. What is Capitalism?  
Capitalism - Most commonly defined as private ownership, free enterprise, and free markets, which is extremely deceptive. It is more useful to use the word as capitalism is the use of capital as a tool of productivity. All systems need to use this whether capitalist, socialist, communist, or theocratic, commercial. Nations also have human capital they can use on occasion, including for war, but that is out of the scope of this. Slavery is just economic capital like any machine.
The unfortunate and important thing is that that capital is more often being used as a means of control rather than of production.
The important thing is that ownership (and primogeniture which was how ownership was transferred... and fed the class war) provided critical economic order that preserved wealth and capital. (Different inheritance law/order is considered one of the greatest weakness of the Islamic world, why it has not developed economically like the West.)

The point is that ownership is not magic. It is an agreement, a law, that is necessary to provide order in the society, and has worked well, based on incentive.

Some History of Power and Economics 
2. Late in the history of Sumeria, an international ruling class developed in the West that was descended from warrior, scribe and priest castes. It exists today in the remnants of the monarchy of England. Through all of this, the social structure was feudalism, with a ruling class and a slave class (by any name). A middle class is an anomaly in this, but lets register it, because it did exist. Interesting. It was never registered. Even merchants were, and military engineers, but not commercial engineering really.

3. Ruling class/feudalism vs Democracy. Ongoing class war. What is a lot of this is about.
We know that feudalism in its many forms from Sumeria to North Korea was about a ruling group of some kind, dominating the society. That is in contrast to the democracies of many forms which are ruled for the benefit of the citizens. Consider it in terms of who controls the power instead of any uninterested parties that lead like Plato's Priest Kings. In the past, rule has been primarily by force, which was used to gain economic wealth and power. Democracy and peace turned out to be much more economical than war, and at the same time, economy became more important than guns, but also useful to make bullets.

War has often been about plunder and resources, but also about grudges and glory. Currently it looks uneconomical and renewables will make it more so. Now we tend to be in an economic class war turning into an information war (pioneered by Russia)

So what changed? Why did all the monarchies fall? Larger investments in the industrial age created military powr and outweighed political power. 

Here's a broad sweep of history in the West. (During this time, Majic was operating as well.)
1. Mostly feudalistic military based monarchic (family run) empires that peaked with Rome.
2. The Christian Church brought new philosophies and the Catholic Church remade society, organizing the monarchies by ordaining them as God's will.
3. Increasing commerce (economic wealth) and disruptions by disease (especially the Black death) disrupted the traditional order leading to the Renaissance which led to new ideas including printing that could spread ideas. Some of those ideas were political.  
4. Corruption, greed and new ideas damaged Church authority in a big way. 
5. Monarchies were always damaged by greed and corruption, but military power could manage that. 
6. Then with the industrial revolution, world wide trade, and development of the New World, there was a net increase in economic wealth (capital). With more capital, more could be done. This also exasperated the economic class war and exasperated greed which came back to haunt them.

One cannot underestimate the serendipity and importance of Democracy developing in America. Most national Constitutions since then, have been based around the American Constitution. This was an introduction of law governing the ruling class, which it really never had before. It was great for business. 
This was followed by Napoleon in France who also led to a democracy... after a bit of untidiness, and Napoleonic law (three judges) is far more common than any other system, such as America has.

Other dominoes were falling, so notably Tsarist Russia. The ideas of Socialism were being formulated, and communism to implement socialism where the existing monarchy/military ruling class would fight it.
Arguably, that was an outcome of the economics, increased wealth, of the industrial revolution.

Must not skip the American Civil War, when for the first time in history, a non-professional soldier (using rifled musket), could effectively fight a professional soldier of the military caste with his lifelong training. This was a huge change. Also, wooden warships became obsolete, but that was of less basic significance.

Then Germany took advantage of that fact about machines and war, and messed everything up. Empires vanished. Colonial politics changed. Colonialism is basically past and we are at the end of the monarchies now. The US is a great military power, Russia is spent and no one really knows about China. We face ecological disaster while renewable energy redefines what the past was.

This is now.

Is socialism like democracy? Democracy is supported by the belief that a government is only legitimate when based on the consent of the governed. What would that look like in economic terms? Would it only be a legitimate system if it served the people in general?

Goals. ... Non-coercive political and economic systems.

Moral instincts, Moral systems - Genes, Epigenetics. 

Occupational Castes and Classes
Historically... since the start of the cities in the West, say Sumeria and the city of Ur... It took different skills to make a city and so a civilization work. In the West this led to occupational castes with tribal (genetic) roots: peasants (farmers and herders) warriors (descended from herders), crafters to build the cities and economies, scribes and priests (who originally ran the cities and were related to the scribes). Later an international military based ruling class developed. Darlington never mentioned a merchant caste, but I always thought there was one.

This also naturally makes a classed society. The miller of grain naturally makes more wealth than the farmer that grows the grain. It is partly position and partly investment. The same thing applies to certain castes. The rulers have access to more wealth including taxes and trade. It makes the class war as old as civilization.
[Note the miller is making wealth by production. Traditionally the welathy classes did it by military dominatinn.]
Mental model... Close This

Majic - Human Instincts Respond To Choice


UBI Discussion - Raw Notes and Data

1. Initial Notes.
2. Democracy - Law, and so Power, Owned by Citizens.
3. Classism - Historic Socio-Economic Structure a described by Senator James Henry Hammond - 1858 - Very Illustrative.
4. Interesting comment by John Jay - First U.S. Chief Justice
5. The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith - 1776. Start at the basics.
6. Marx - Not as Important as he was famous. Articulated "Class War" and important because he wrote about automation replacing labor. 
7. Socialism - Dates from Biblical Times. Many flavors.

 

Fascinating Conversation About Class, Economics and Socialism - Check This Out


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Regulating and Limiting Persuasive Powers


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Socialism and Communism - Oct 2025

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